Derby County vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
23.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1998 |
EVE
0 - 0
DER
47%
26%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1998 |
COV
1 - 1
DER
46%
27%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1998 |
DER
2 - 2
CHL
31%
26%
44%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1998 |
DER
0 - 0
ARS
38%
28%
35%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1998 |
SOU
0 - 1
DER
49%
25%
27%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1998 |
MID
1 - 3
LIV
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1998 |
MUD
2 - 3
MID
74%
17%
9%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1998 |
MID
1 - 0
WHU
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
MID
2 - 2
NEW
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
ARS
1 - 1
MID
64%
22%
14%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |