Derby County vs Leicester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
45.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
SOU
4 - 0
DER
71%
19%
10%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
DER
0 - 1
REA
31%
27%
43%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
MIL
0 - 0
DER
56%
25%
20%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2012 |
BAR
3 - 2
DER
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
DER
0 - 2
STO
27%
26%
47%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
NOR
1 - 2
LEI
63%
20%
17%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
WAT
3 - 2
LEI
36%
26%
38%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
LEI
2 - 1
CAR
46%
26%
29%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
BHA
1 - 0
LEI
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
LEI
2 - 2
MID
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |