Championship Playoff . Semi-finals
Global 4-3
Derby County vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
27.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
DER
3 - 1
WBA
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
SWA
1 - 1
DER
50%
25%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
BRI
0 - 2
DER
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
DER
2 - 0
QPR
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
BIR
2 - 2
DER
29%
27%
44%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
IPS
3 - 2
LEE
16%
24%
61%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
LEE
1 - 1
ASV
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
BRE
2 - 0
LEE
40%
25%
35%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
LEE
1 - 2
WIG
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
LEE
1 - 0
SHW
52%
26%
23%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |