Derby County vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
25%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1977 |
CHL
1 - 1
DER
44%
26%
31%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1977 |
DER
0 - 1
MUD
45%
24%
31%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1977 |
NTT
3 - 0
DER
42%
26%
32%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1977 |
DER
0 - 0
IPS
52%
24%
24%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1977 |
COV
3 - 1
DER
45%
26%
29%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1977 |
LEE
2 - 1
IPS
51%
26%
23%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1977 |
COV
2 - 2
LEE
43%
26%
31%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1977 |
LEE
1 - 0
BIR
63%
21%
16%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1977 |
LEE
2 - 2
WBA
63%
21%
15%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1977 |
NEW
3 - 2
LEE
56%
23%
21%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |