Derby County vs Hull City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
33.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
MID
2 - 2
DER
38%
29%
34%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
CRY
0 - 1
DER
63%
23%
14%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2020 |
DER
2 - 1
BAR
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2019 |
DER
2 - 1
CHA
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
WIG
1 - 1
DER
30%
27%
43%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Hull City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
HUL
0 - 1
FUL
42%
25%
32%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
ROT
2 - 3
HUL
35%
24%
41%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
SHW
0 - 1
HUL
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
QPR
1 - 2
HUL
35%
25%
40%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
HUL
0 - 2
NTT
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |