Derby County vs Hull City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
DER
0 - 0
WHU
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
FUL
0 - 0
DER
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2001 |
IPS
3 - 1
DER
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
DER
2 - 1
BBU
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2001 |
DER
1 - 1
IPS
40%
26%
35%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Hull City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
HUL
4 - 0
YOR
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2001 |
HUL
2 - 1
KID
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
CUM
0 - 0
HUL
34%
30%
36%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2001 |
WRE
2 - 3
HUL
48%
27%
26%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
HUL
0 - 0
PLY
56%
25%
20%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |