Derby County vs Coventry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
DER
1 - 0
CRY
44%
25%
31%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
HUL
0 - 1
DER
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
DER
2 - 1
WHU
22%
26%
52%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
DER
1 - 0
LEE
30%
26%
44%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
IPS
1 - 0
DER
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Coventry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
COV
1 - 2
SOU
20%
23%
57%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
WHU
1 - 0
COV
81%
14%
5%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
COV
2 - 0
BHA
33%
30%
37%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
COV
1 - 0
BRI
36%
28%
37%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
POS
1 - 0
COV
76%
15%
9%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |