Derby County vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
35.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2010 |
CRE
1 - 0
DER
28%
24%
48%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
LEE
1 - 2
DER
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
DER
1 - 2
BIR
30%
27%
44%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2010 |
SOU
1 - 1
DER
25%
25%
50%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
DER
2 - 0
CAR
33%
26%
41%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
CAR
4 - 1
BUR
67%
20%
14%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 1
SHE
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
CAR
0 - 1
DEP
33%
27%
40%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
BPO
3 - 2
CAR
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 3
LEI
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -2 |