Derby County vs Bristol City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
CRY
1 - 0
DER
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2009 |
DER
2 - 3
BAR
59%
23%
19%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
DER
0 - 1
SHE
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
NTT
3 - 2
DER
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
DER
2 - 1
PLY
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
BRI
1 - 1
SCU
44%
27%
30%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2009 |
SWA
0 - 0
BRI
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
COV
1 - 1
BRI
41%
28%
31%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
BRI
2 - 1
MID
27%
28%
45%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
BRI
0 - 2
CUM
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |