Derby County vs Blackburn Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
40.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
COV
1 - 1
DER
52%
27%
21%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
DER
2 - 2
LUT
31%
27%
42%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
PNE
0 - 0
DER
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
DER
0 - 0
SWA
23%
26%
52%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
DER
1 - 0
REA
30%
27%
43%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Blackburn Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
BBU
2 - 0
REA
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
QPR
1 - 0
BBU
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
BBU
2 - 2
COV
48%
25%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
BPO
2 - 1
BBU
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
HUR
3 - 2
BBU
30%
27%
44%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |