Clausura Nicaragua . Semi-finals
Global 2-4
Walter Ferretti vs Managua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
33%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2020 |
WAL
5 - 1
JAP
63%
22%
16%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2020 |
MAN
1 - 0
WAL
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2020 |
WAL
2 - 0
SAB
74%
18%
9%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2020 |
DEP
0 - 1
WAL
26%
28%
46%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2020 |
WAL
4 - 0
REA
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2020 |
MAN
1 - 0
WAL
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2020 |
MAN
6 - 1
JAP
74%
16%
10%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2020 |
SAB
0 - 1
MAN
13%
25%
62%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2020 |
MAN
2 - 1
DEP
78%
14%
8%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2020 |
REA
0 - 0
MAN
22%
25%
52%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | -1 |