Apertura Nicaragua . Semi-finals
Global 4-4
Walter Ferretti vs Managua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
31.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2019 |
MAN
2 - 2
WAL
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
WAL
2 - 1
MAN
40%
27%
34%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
SAB
1 - 2
WAL
34%
30%
36%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
WAL
5 - 1
DEP
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
REA
2 - 1
WAL
33%
29%
38%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2019 |
MAN
2 - 2
WAL
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
MAN
0 - 0
JUV
64%
20%
17%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
WAL
2 - 1
MAN
40%
27%
34%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
JAP
1 - 2
MAN
14%
23%
63%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
MAN
4 - 0
SAB
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |