Deportivo Táchira vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
13.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Táchira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2021 |
TAC
2 - 1
SCI
25%
27%
49%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
TAC
2 - 0
TRU
68%
20%
13%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
REA
2 - 0
TAC
58%
22%
21%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
POR
0 - 3
TAC
20%
27%
53%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
SCI
4 - 0
TAC
71%
18%
10%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2021 |
EST
0 - 2
POR
65%
22%
13%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
EST
1 - 0
ZUL
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
BAR
4 - 2
EST
29%
27%
44%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
EST
4 - 0
TRU
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
EST
1 - 2
APC
37%
27%
37%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |