Deportivo Táchira vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
19.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Táchira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
MON
3 - 0
TAC
43%
28%
29%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2011 |
TAC
0 - 0
ZAM
42%
28%
30%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
MIR
1 - 0
TAC
47%
28%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
TAC
1 - 1
LAR
56%
25%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
TAC
0 - 0
ZAM
45%
26%
30%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2011 |
ARA
1 - 0
GVA
60%
22%
17%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
GVA
0 - 0
ARA
25%
23%
52%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
ARA
3 - 2
ATL
42%
29%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2011 |
TUC
0 - 1
ARA
29%
26%
46%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2011 |
ARA
0 - 3
YAR
42%
28%
30%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -2 |