Dep. Santamarina vs Rivadavia Lincoln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
14.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2013 |
JUU
0 - 0
RSA
33%
27%
39%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
RSA
1 - 0
ALV
68%
21%
11%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
MAI
1 - 2
RSA
39%
28%
33%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2012 |
RSA
2 - 0
DFR
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
RSA
4 - 0
GBR
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Rivadavia Lincoln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2013 |
RIV
2 - 5
DFR
46%
27%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 2
RIV
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
RIV
3 - 0
DES
29%
28%
43%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
GIM
1 - 0
RIV
47%
26%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
RIV
2 - 1
RAO
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |