Dep. Santamarina vs Guillermo Brown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
24.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
BRO
2 - 0
RSA
32%
28%
40%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2016 |
RSA
1 - 2
BOC
23%
26%
51%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 2
RSA
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
GBR
1 - 1
RSA
38%
27%
36%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
RSA
0 - 2
CHA
37%
28%
36%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
GBR
1 - 0
IRV
50%
26%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
GBR
1 - 1
RSA
38%
27%
36%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
IRV
2 - 1
GBR
36%
28%
37%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
GBR
2 - 0
CSE
45%
26%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
DHA
1 - 2
GBR
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |