Dep. Santamarina vs Club Atlético Güemes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.9%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
38.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
ALB
1 - 0
RSA
67%
21%
12%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
RSA
0 - 2
GIM
19%
28%
53%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
STM
1 - 1
RSA
50%
26%
23%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
RSA
2 - 2
CFE
22%
30%
48%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SMA
4 - 0
RSA
68%
20%
12%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Club Atlético Güemes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CAG
1 - 1
RAF
35%
30%
36%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
GBR
1 - 1
CAG
35%
31%
34%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CAG
0 - 1
CHA
38%
28%
34%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
BRO
1 - 1
CAG
46%
28%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
CAG
0 - 0
DEF
34%
31%
35%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |