1a B Cla. Playoffs . Quarter-finals
Global 4-1
Deportivo Rionegro vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Rionegro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
RIO
4 - 0
ALI
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
RSC
3 - 0
RIO
32%
27%
41%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 0
AFC
73%
18%
10%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
REA
2 - 2
RIO
40%
27%
34%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
RIO
4 - 0
CEN
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
RIO
4 - 0
ALI
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
ALI
1 - 1
BOG
34%
28%
38%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
PAC
1 - 0
ALI
44%
26%
31%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
ALI
1 - 1
BAR
60%
24%
17%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ALI
0 - 1
RSC
41%
28%
30%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |