Dep. Quito vs Barcelona SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
15.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
NAC
0 - 3
QUI
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
QUI
4 - 0
MAN
62%
21%
16%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
MAN
2 - 0
QUI
29%
29%
42%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2011 |
LIG
0 - 1
QUI
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
QUI
1 - 1
NAC
60%
23%
17%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
BSC
2 - 0
LOJ
49%
27%
23%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
ESP
2 - 2
BSC
41%
28%
31%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
IMB
0 - 2
BSC
47%
27%
26%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2011 |
BSC
0 - 0
LIG
37%
29%
34%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
MAN
1 - 0
BSC
38%
30%
32%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |