Clausura Playoffs Fase Final. Final
Global 1-1
Deportivo Pereira vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
36.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Pereira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2022 |
IND
1 - 1
PER
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2022 |
JUN
0 - 2
PER
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2022 |
PER
5 - 1
SFE
35%
26%
39%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2022 |
PER
2 - 1
MIL
22%
24%
54%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2022 |
MIL
2 - 0
PER
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2022 |
IND
1 - 1
PER
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2022 |
PAS
0 - 0
IND
25%
25%
51%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
IND
2 - 1
AME
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2022 |
IND
2 - 1
AGU
50%
25%
24%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
AGU
1 - 0
IND
34%
25%
41%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |