Copa Colombia . Last 16
Global 3-4
Deportivo Pereira vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
44.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Pereira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 1
PER
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
PER
2 - 0
UNI
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
ENV
2 - 1
PER
37%
27%
36%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
TOL
3 - 2
PER
58%
24%
19%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
PER
1 - 0
MIL
20%
25%
55%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2022 |
MIL
0 - 0
TOL
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2022 |
TOL
1 - 0
IVT
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
TOL
3 - 2
COR
67%
21%
12%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2022 |
AMF
2 - 3
TOL
44%
28%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
ALI
0 - 2
TOL
25%
28%
47%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | +1 |