Dep. Paraguayo vs Arg. Rosario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Paraguayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
LIN
3 - 0
DPA
61%
22%
17%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2021 |
DPA
3 - 0
YUP
50%
25%
25%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +2 |
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
LUG
1 - 1
DPA
42%
27%
31%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
DPA
1 - 2
SBA
37%
27%
37%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
PUE
2 - 1
DPA
45%
25%
30%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Arg. Rosario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
ARR
0 - 1
JUU
51%
25%
24%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2021 |
MUÑ
1 - 0
ARR
42%
27%
31%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
ARR
0 - 0
CBA
46%
26%
29%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
CES
1 - 1
ARR
53%
25%
22%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
CAM
2 - 1
ARR
55%
24%
22%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |