Deportivo Merlo vs UAI Urquiza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
65.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.8%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
DOC
1 - 2
MER
53%
25%
23%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
LAM
2 - 2
MER
42%
27%
32%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
ARM
1 - 3
MER
51%
25%
25%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
MER
1 - 1
LAF
40%
25%
35%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2021 |
LAM
0 - 0
MER
45%
26%
29%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
UAI Urquiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
UAI
1 - 0
SMG
50%
27%
24%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2021 |
UAI
3 - 3
ARQ
51%
26%
23%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
FLA
0 - 1
UAI
51%
26%
24%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
UAI
0 - 2
AND
34%
30%
36%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
COL
2 - 2
UAI
24%
26%
50%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |