Deportivo Maldonado vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.4%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
49.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Maldonado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
DEP
2 - 1
CSC
56%
25%
19%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
DAN
0 - 0
DEP
39%
29%
33%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
DEP
2 - 1
NAC
22%
28%
50%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
LFC
3 - 1
DEP
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
DEP
1 - 1
TOR
29%
27%
44%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
ALB
66%
22%
13%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
DEF
2 - 3
PEÑ
27%
28%
46%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
FEN
64%
23%
13%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
ALB
1 - 3
PEÑ
25%
28%
47%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
MWA
3 - 3
PEÑ
28%
29%
43%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |