Deportivo Lara Sub 20 vs Aragua Sub 20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+75%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Lara Sub 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
POR
1 - 0
DLA
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
DLA
3 - 1
CAR
45%
25%
31%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +2 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
TUC
0 - 1
DLA
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
DLA
3 - 2
CAR
51%
24%
26%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
ARA
1 - 3
DLA
60%
21%
18%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Aragua Sub 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
ARA
2 - 0
CAR
54%
23%
23%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
TUC
0 - 2
ARA
50%
24%
25%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +2 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
ARA
2 - 3
POR
42%
25%
33%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
CAR
3 - 2
ARA
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
ARA
1 - 3
DLA
60%
21%
18%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |