Copa Libertadores Grupo H. Jor. 4

La Guaira vs Cerro Porteño analysis

La Guaira Cerro Porteño
73 ELO 79
-7.6% Tilt -15.1%
1375º General ELO ranking 429º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
32.8%
La Guaira
25.5%
Draw
41.7%
Cerro Porteño

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
La Guaira
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
41.7%
Win probability
Cerro Porteño
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

La Guaira
Cerro Porteño
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

La Guaira
La Guaira
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 May. 2021
DEP
La Guaira
4 - 2
Carabobo
CAR
70%
20%
10%
73 55 18 0
07 May. 2021
DEP
La Guaira
0 - 0
América de Cali
AME
34%
26%
40%
73 79 6 0
02 May. 2021
YAR
Yaracuyanos
0 - 2
La Guaira
DEP
18%
27%
55%
72 56 16 +1
29 Apr. 2021
CCP
Cerro Porteño
0 - 0
La Guaira
DEP
61%
22%
17%
73 79 6 -1
25 Apr. 2021
APC
Puerto Cabello
0 - 0
La Guaira
DEP
35%
28%
37%
73 66 7 0

Matches

Cerro Porteño
Cerro Porteño
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 May. 2021
CCP
Cerro Porteño
2 - 2
Nacional
NAC
50%
26%
24%
79 76 3 0
05 May. 2021
ATM
Atl. Mineiro
4 - 0
Cerro Porteño
CCP
61%
20%
18%
79 84 5 0
02 May. 2021
CCP
Cerro Porteño
2 - 0
Olimpia
OLI
39%
25%
36%
79 79 0 0
29 Apr. 2021
CCP
Cerro Porteño
0 - 0
La Guaira
DEP
61%
22%
17%
79 73 6 0
25 Apr. 2021
GUA
Guaireña
0 - 1
Cerro Porteño
CCP
26%
26%
48%
79 71 8 0
X