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Copa Libertadores. Group H, Matchday 4

La Guaira Cerro Porteño
49 ELO 57
1% Tilt 4%
1073º General ELO ranking 640º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
38.6%
La Guaira
26.8%
Draw
34.6%
Cerro Porteño

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
La Guaira
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
34.6%
Win probability
Cerro Porteño
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

Basic stats

54
46
POS
12
16
SOT
6
1
COR
0
1
GF
1
0
GC
49
57
ELO
1.3
1.2
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

La Guaira
Their league position
Cerro Porteño
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
10
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Atl. Mineiro
16
16
100%
Cerro Porteño
10
10
100%
América de Cali
4
4
100%
La Guaira
3
3
100%
Expected probabilities
La Guaira
Cerro Porteño
Next phase
0% 100%
South American Liguilla
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%

ELO progression

Cerro Porteño
CCP
La Guaira
DEP
Gran Valencia
GVA
Club River Plate
RPA
Sport Huancayo
HUA
Peñarol
PEÑ
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

La Guaira
La Guaira
1%
X%
2%
ELO DEP ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 May. 2021
DEP
La Guaira
4 - 2
Carabobo
CAR
53%
26%
22%
935 670 265 +4
07 May. 2021
DEP
La Guaira
0 - 0
América de Cali
AME
24%
24%
52%
928 2041 -1113 +8
02 May. 2021
YAR
Yaracuyanos
0 - 2
La Guaira
DEP
33%
28%
39%
923 364 -559 +3
29 Apr. 2021
CCP
Cerro Porteño
0 - 0
La Guaira
DEP
55%
24%
21%
919 1260 341 +5
25 Apr. 2021
APC
Academia Puerto Cabello
0 - 0
La Guaira
DEP
35%
27%
37%
918 413 -505 -1

Matches

Cerro Porteño
Cerro Porteño
1%
X%
2%
ELO CCP ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 May. 2021
CCP
Cerro Porteño
2 - 2
Nacional
NAC
58%
22%
19%
1254 641 613 -1
05 May. 2021
ATM
Atl. Mineiro
4 - 0
Cerro Porteño
CCP
72%
17%
11%
1261 2232 971 -6
02 May. 2021
CCP
Cerro Porteño
2 - 0
Olimpia
OLI
47%
27%
26%
1255 1176 79 +4
29 Apr. 2021
CCP
Cerro Porteño
0 - 0
La Guaira
DEP
55%
24%
21%
1259 918 341 -2
25 Apr. 2021
GUA
Guaireña
0 - 1
Cerro Porteño
CCP
25%
25%
51%
1256 319 -937 +1