La Guaira vs Carabobo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
29.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2022 |
ZAM
2 - 3
DEP
57%
25%
19%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
DEP
2 - 1
POR
41%
28%
31%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
POR
1 - 0
DEP
39%
29%
32%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
DEP
1 - 1
ZAM
30%
28%
42%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2022 |
DEP
0 - 1
JLM
23%
21%
57%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 2
LAR
45%
28%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
CFC
0 - 0
CAR
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 0
CFC
34%
29%
38%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2022 |
LAR
1 - 0
CAR
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 0
DEP
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |