Copa Simón Bolívar . 1/16
Global 5-3
Deportivo FATIC vs Tiquipaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
55%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo FATIC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
TIQ
2 - 3
FAT
72%
18%
10%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
CHA
0 - 1
FAT
5%
11%
84%
|
41 | 12 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
FAT
1 - 1
CHA
94%
5%
2%
|
41 | 11 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
FAT
1 - 1
CMV
3%
17%
81%
|
41 | 71 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
CMV
4 - 0
FAT
86%
12%
3%
|
41 | 71 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Tiquipaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
TIQ
2 - 3
FAT
72%
18%
10%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2020 |
TIQ
1 - 1
COC
88%
10%
3%
|
57 | 24 | 33 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
HAP
0 - 0
TIQ
15%
21%
64%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
COC
1 - 1
TIQ
5%
13%
81%
|
57 | 22 | 35 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
TIQ
1 - 1
HAP
77%
16%
8%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | -1 |