Deportivo Colonia vs River Plate Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
38.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
DEF
2 - 0
COL
61%
22%
18%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
COL
0 - 2
JUN
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
PAY
1 - 5
COL
39%
25%
35%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2005 |
COL
0 - 0
LFC
37%
28%
36%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
COL
0 - 1
CER
46%
27%
28%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
PEÑ
2 - 4
RIV
58%
22%
21%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
CSM
1 - 1
RIV
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
RIV
2 - 2
DEF
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2005 |
RIV
1 - 2
PLA
72%
18%
10%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
LFC
2 - 1
RIV
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |