Deportivo Achirense vs Libertad Concordia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
24.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Achirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
COL
0 - 1
ACH
18%
22%
60%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
ACH
3 - 0
ARV
65%
19%
17%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
BEL
1 - 4
ACH
49%
26%
25%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
ACH
2 - 0
VIA
68%
18%
14%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
SMO
1 - 0
ACH
31%
24%
45%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -3 |
Matches
Libertad Concordia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
LBC
2 - 0
VEL
50%
22%
28%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
LBC
3 - 2
COS
65%
19%
16%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
COL
1 - 1
LBC
20%
22%
58%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
LBC
0 - 0
ARV
64%
19%
17%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
BEL
0 - 0
LBC
45%
24%
31%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -2 |