Recoleta vs Colina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
11.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recoleta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
DER
2 - 1
CHG
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
DER
5 - 1
LAU
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
LIM
3 - 0
DER
39%
25%
36%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
DER
1 - 0
SAU
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
IBE
1 - 2
DER
43%
25%
32%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Colina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
ACC
2 - 3
IBE
30%
25%
45%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
CHG
0 - 1
ACC
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
ACC
0 - 1
ROD
51%
22%
27%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
CON
0 - 0
ACC
47%
26%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2021 |
ACC
1 - 2
GVE
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |