FCV Dender vs KFC Turnhout analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
13.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCV Dender
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
MON
1 - 1
DEN
34%
26%
40%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
TIE
0 - 0
DEN
31%
25%
44%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2009 |
DEN
1 - 0
KSK
65%
20%
15%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
RON
0 - 2
DEN
26%
25%
50%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
DEN
2 - 1
LIE
63%
22%
16%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
KFC Turnhout
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
TUR
1 - 3
OOS
39%
26%
36%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
EUP
2 - 1
TUR
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
TUR
0 - 2
TUB
44%
26%
31%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
BOU
1 - 1
TUR
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
TUR
2 - 1
LEU
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |