FCV Dender vs KV Mechelen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
22.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCV Dender
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
MON
2 - 2
DEN
41%
28%
31%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
DEN
1 - 1
AND
21%
24%
55%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
DEN
2 - 0
KVC
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
STR
1 - 2
DEN
37%
26%
37%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
DEN
2 - 4
CER
31%
28%
41%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
KV Mechelen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
KVM
2 - 1
ZUL
39%
26%
35%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
EXC
0 - 1
KVM
54%
24%
23%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
KVM
1 - 1
LOK
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
BRU
2 - 0
KVM
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
KVM
1 - 0
CHA
37%
28%
36%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |