FCV Dender vs Lommel SK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
66.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
6º
12º
10º
32
1º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCV Dender
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
DEN
1 - 1
NIN
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
DEN
0 - 0
DEN
9%
16%
75%
|
51 | 27 | 24 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
DEN
2 - 1
OUD
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
DEN
1 - 0
KNO
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
DEN
1 - 0
DES
71%
19%
11%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lommel SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
LOM
2 - 1
GEN
26%
25%
49%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
DES
2 - 2
LOM
8%
15%
77%
|
67 | 40 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
LOM
1 - 3
WIL
44%
23%
33%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
CRE
1 - 3
LOM
12%
17%
71%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
LOM
1 - 2
REI
31%
26%
42%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |