FCV Dender vs Beerschot VA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
52.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
6º
12º
10º
38
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCV Dender
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
BRG
4 - 1
DEN
57%
24%
18%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
DEN
2 - 1
RSC
26%
27%
47%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
STL
1 - 1
DEN
55%
25%
20%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
DEN
0 - 1
SDL
15%
20%
65%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
DEN
0 - 1
RWD
20%
25%
56%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Beerschot VA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
RSC
1 - 2
BEE
46%
26%
29%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
BEE
1 - 0
BRG
36%
26%
38%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BEE
3 - 0
EXC
55%
24%
20%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
CER
3 - 1
BEE
58%
22%
20%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
LOM
1 - 3
BEE
51%
24%
24%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |