Denbigh Town vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
67.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denbigh Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
DEN
2 - 1
HOL
43%
24%
32%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
BUC
2 - 2
DEN
41%
23%
36%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
DEN
4 - 1
CON
58%
22%
21%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
RHA
2 - 3
DEN
15%
20%
64%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
DEN
2 - 1
AIR
12%
21%
67%
|
35 | 63 | 28 | +2 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
HAV
0 - 2
CON
25%
24%
51%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
CON
4 - 0
CAR
45%
25%
31%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +2 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
NEW
4 - 2
CON
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
POR
0 - 4
CON
45%
26%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
CON
5 - 3
CAE
59%
21%
20%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +2 |