Democrata SL vs Caldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
34.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Democrata SL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
PAT
2 - 0
DEM
31%
27%
42%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CRZ
1 - 1
DEM
84%
12%
4%
|
46 | 79 | 33 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
DEM
1 - 2
ATH
21%
22%
57%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
TOM
2 - 2
DEM
77%
16%
7%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
DEM
2 - 2
IFC
18%
21%
61%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
POA
1 - 1
CAL
66%
19%
15%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
CAL
0 - 3
CEA
6%
20%
75%
|
46 | 84 | 38 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 2
CRZ
5%
16%
79%
|
46 | 79 | 33 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
ATH
3 - 2
CAL
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CAL
2 - 1
VIL
28%
28%
45%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |