Democrata GV vs Mamoré analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
36.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Democrata GV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 1
DEM
52%
23%
24%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
DEM
0 - 1
CAL
29%
28%
44%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
TOM
3 - 1
DEM
49%
25%
27%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 2
DEM
43%
26%
31%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
DEM
1 - 0
URT
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mamoré
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
CRZ
1 - 1
MAM
86%
11%
3%
|
48 | 87 | 39 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
MAM
4 - 0
TUP
29%
27%
45%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
AMF
3 - 0
MAM
78%
15%
7%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
MAM
0 - 0
BOA
25%
26%
49%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
MAM
1 - 2
VIL
50%
26%
24%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |