Delta Porto Tolle vs Luparense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
15.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Delta Porto Tolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 2
DEL
23%
23%
54%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
DEL
0 - 2
BEL
68%
18%
14%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
POR
2 - 2
DEL
35%
24%
41%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
LEG
1 - 5
DEL
42%
24%
34%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
DEL
3 - 0
MON
71%
18%
12%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Luparense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 1
LEG
45%
24%
31%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
POR
2 - 2
SAN
58%
21%
20%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2012 |
NKK
1 - 2
SAN
19%
22%
59%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
SAC
2 - 1
SAN
48%
24%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
MON
59%
22%
19%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |