Delta Porto Tolle vs Ambrosiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
43.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Delta Porto Tolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
SDA
3 - 2
DEL
55%
22%
23%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
DEL
1 - 0
VIR
45%
24%
31%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
MZN
0 - 1
DEL
74%
15%
11%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
DEL
2 - 0
CHI
64%
20%
16%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
DEL
0 - 2
CAL
30%
24%
45%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Ambrosiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 0
GSD
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
GSD
2 - 2
SDA
56%
21%
23%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 2
GSD
49%
23%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
GSD
4 - 1
MZN
25%
21%
55%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +3 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
MES
0 - 1
GSD
67%
19%
14%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +2 |