Delemont vs Winterthur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.4%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
73.1%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Delemont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
DEL
4 - 3
FCM
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
OLD
2 - 2
DEL
45%
24%
32%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
DEL
5 - 3
YFJ
24%
26%
50%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +2 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
FCK
3 - 0
DEL
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
DEL
1 - 1
RAP
44%
24%
31%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
FCA
1 - 2
WIN
50%
24%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2015 |
SCH
1 - 2
WIN
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2015 |
WIN
0 - 0
WOH
50%
24%
26%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
WIN
1 - 2
WIL
53%
23%
24%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2015 |
FCL
3 - 0
WIN
63%
22%
16%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | +1 |