Deinze vs Excelsior Virton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
14.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
2º
12º
8º
14
5º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deinze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
DEI
3 - 2
KRC
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
RSC
0 - 0
DEI
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
DEI
2 - 1
LOU
62%
20%
18%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
DEI
8 - 1
SPA
68%
18%
14%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
FBO
1 - 2
DEI
8%
15%
77%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
NAM
1 - 2
EXC
22%
23%
56%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
WAA
2 - 2
EXC
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
EXC
9 - 1
ARQ
80%
14%
6%
|
56 | 25 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
EXC
1 - 1
RWD
24%
26%
50%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 1
EXC
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | +1 |