Degerfors U21 vs IFK Norrköping U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.3%
25.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
2º
2º
2º
4
3º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
4 | 10 |
1º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
4 | 10 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
4 | 10 |
3º
|
30.5% | |
|
4º
|
1 | 2 |
4º
|
95% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
38.5% | 27% |
|
Mid-table
|
61.5% | 73% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Degerfors U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
DEG
2 - 2
DJU
48%
20%
32%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2023 |
DEG
3 - 0
GEF
72%
15%
13%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
DJU
3 - 1
DEG
45%
21%
34%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
GEF
0 - 2
DEG
29%
21%
50%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
IFK
2 - 2
DEG
39%
21%
40%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
IFK Norrköping U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
GEF
0 - 2
IFK
27%
21%
52%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
IFK
3 - 0
GEF
60%
19%
21%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
IFK
1 - 0
DJU
33%
21%
46%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
DJU
4 - 1
IFK
56%
20%
24%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
IFK
2 - 2
DEG
39%
21%
40%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |