Def. Unidos vs Arg. Quilmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2021 |
JJU
4 - 1
CAD
50%
25%
24%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
CAD
0 - 0
SAC
50%
26%
24%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
ACA
0 - 0
CAD
38%
29%
34%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
CAÑ
1 - 3
CAD
25%
26%
49%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2021 |
CAD
0 - 3
FLA
42%
28%
31%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Arg. Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
ARQ
1 - 1
FEN
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
COL
3 - 0
ARQ
54%
25%
21%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
ARQ
2 - 2
AND
25%
28%
47%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2021 |
ARQ
1 - 1
JJU
28%
27%
46%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
SAC
1 - 0
ARQ
55%
24%
21%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |