Defensores de Boca vs Atlético Peñaflor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
40.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensores de Boca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
DEF
1 - 0
SPC
53%
21%
26%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
ALB
1 - 3
DEF
40%
22%
38%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CAP
1 - 1
DEF
66%
18%
16%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
SPC
0 - 1
DEF
33%
22%
45%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
DEF
2 - 1
ALB
43%
22%
35%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Peñaflor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CAP
3 - 2
ALB
72%
16%
13%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
SPC
3 - 1
CAP
19%
20%
61%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | -3 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CAP
1 - 1
DEF
66%
18%
16%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ALB
1 - 2
CAP
30%
22%
49%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CAP
5 - 1
SPC
74%
15%
11%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | +1 |