Defensor Sporting vs River Plate Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
33.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2021 |
PEÑ
1 - 2
DEF
59%
23%
19%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2021 |
DEF
1 - 1
MWA
40%
26%
35%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
DEF
1 - 1
BOS
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
RIV
1 - 1
DEF
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
DEF
0 - 1
FEN
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
RIV
1 - 2
CER
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
FEN
1 - 1
RIV
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
RIV
3 - 2
FEN
58%
23%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
UCO
0 - 1
RIV
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
RIV
1 - 1
DEF
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |