Defensor Sporting vs Racing Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
28.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2021 |
ATE
2 - 0
DEF
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
DEF
4 - 0
CEN
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
ALB
2 - 2
DEF
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2021 |
CER
0 - 0
DEF
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2021 |
DEF
2 - 1
ROC
46%
26%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2021 |
RAC
0 - 0
CER
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2021 |
ROC
2 - 3
RAC
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
RAC
2 - 1
DAN
54%
25%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
JUN
2 - 2
RAC
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2021 |
RAC
1 - 0
UMO
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |