Defensor Sporting vs Cerro Largo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
33.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
REN
2 - 0
DEF
51%
24%
24%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
DEF
4 - 2
DEP
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
BOS
1 - 1
DEF
38%
26%
36%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
DEF
1 - 1
NAC
28%
27%
46%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
DAN
0 - 0
DEF
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
CEL
2 - 1
CER
60%
24%
16%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
CEL
0 - 0
FEN
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
PRO
1 - 2
CEL
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2020 |
PLA
1 - 3
CEL
35%
29%
36%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2020 |
CEL
1 - 1
TOR
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |