Defensor La Bocana vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
38.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor La Bocana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
AUR
1 - 3
BOC
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
GAR
4 - 2
BOC
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2016 |
BOC
1 - 2
MUN
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
SPC
1 - 1
BOC
68%
19%
13%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
BOC
2 - 1
SAM
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
SPC
2 - 1
GAR
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
VAL
2 - 1
SPC
29%
26%
46%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
SPC
1 - 0
COM
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
SPC
1 - 1
BOC
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 2
SPC
33%
27%
41%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |