Defensa y Justicia vs Patronato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
9.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
DYJ
2 - 1
EST
58%
25%
17%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
LAN
1 - 1
DYJ
45%
27%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
DYJ
1 - 0
BAH
54%
25%
21%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
CAU
1 - 3
DYJ
38%
28%
34%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
BAH
2 - 3
DYJ
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
PAT
0 - 1
ALD
44%
26%
31%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2020 |
CEN
4 - 0
PAT
62%
22%
17%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
PAT
0 - 0
VEL
21%
24%
55%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
HUR
1 - 0
PAT
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
PAT
0 - 0
GLP
37%
26%
37%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |